Happy Valley · 2024-03-06
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CELESTIAL COLOURS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Richards, won by 1-1/4, with KAHOLO ANGEL second and GOLDEN EMPIRE third. The 2.7 favourite KAHOLO ANGEL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B/TT 1.09.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 7 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | GOLDEN LONG TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO B B Thompson · D J Whyte | B Thompson | D J Whyte | 8 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | WATCH BUDDY H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.4 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 63.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLDEN TITLE TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 5 | 78.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 34.6% | 2.89 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | WATCH BUDDY | 14.9% | 6.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN LONG | 11.9% | 8.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 9.8% | 10.24 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 6.7% | 15.03 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | HAPPY TRIO | 4.8% | 21.04 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 0.9% | 115.58 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLDEN TITLE | 0.7% | 148.22 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 77
PLACE
2 21.5
3 18
4 13.5
QUINELLA
2,4 100
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 60.5
2,4 38
3,4 33.5
FORECAST
2,4 259
TIERCE
2,4,3 1,103
TRIO
2,3,4 192
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 305
QUARTET
2,4,3,5 5,791
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,12/2,3,4 10,607
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 306.5
1/4 37.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,7/1,9,12/2,3,4 507,058
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,7/1,9,12/Any Combination 3,807