Happy Valley · 2024-03-06
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-06 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SOLAR PARTNER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2, with CHEER FOR SOUTH second and SUPER EAGLE third. The 4.4 favourite YODA'S CHOICE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLAR PARTNER TT 1.10.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 7 | 7.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER EAGLE TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | YODA'S CHOICE CP Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 1 | 4.4 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR B1 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | E UNIVERSE TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 9 | 28.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | COUNTRY DANCER P B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 8.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | RAGNARR TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 8 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | ACE POWER H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY FEELING CP1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 12 | 43.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | GLORIOUS EXPERT P/H1/TT- K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 11 | 80.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SOLAR PARTNER | 19.3% | 5.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PARTY WARRIOR | 17.3% | 5.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER EAGLE | 17.0% | 5.90 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | YODA'S CHOICE | 15.7% | 6.36 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 5.9% | 17.02 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | ACE POWER | 5.8% | 17.24 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | COUNTRY DANCER | 5.7% | 17.63 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | RAGNARR | 4.1% | 24.49 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM | 3.8% | 26.53 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | E UNIVERSE | 2.4% | 42.46 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | GLORIOUS EXPERT | 2.2% | 45.54 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY FEELING | 1.0% | 96.70 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 51
PLACE
1 18.5
9 18.5
12 23
QUINELLA
1,12 227.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 46
1,12 80.5
9,12 76
FORECAST
1,12 416
TIERCE
1,12,9 2,073
TRIO
1,9,12 360
FIRST 4
1,6,9,12 289
QUARTET
1,12,9,6 7,222
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 153.5
7/12 75.5