跑馬地 · 2024-03-06
第 9場
2024-03-06跑馬地第9場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K De Melo策騎、C S Shum訓練的HAPPY SOUL勝出，贏出2。LUCKY PLANET獲得亞軍；HAPPY GOLF獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門FLYING PHANTOM跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT 1.10.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 2 | 6.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | LUCKY PLANET B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 8.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY GOLF B Avdulla · F C Lor | B Avdulla | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | LYRICAL MOTION B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | HERO STAR TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 12 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | TOGEPI B/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 5 | 9.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL LIFE CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 3.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 11 | 57.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | TEAM HAPPY B1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 7 | 17.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | MISTER FOX B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 3 | 60.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | LUCKY PLANET | 15.1% | 6.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | FLYING PHANTOM | 13.1% | 7.61 | 8 |
| 3 | 3 | LYRICAL MOTION | 11.1% | 8.99 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY SOUL | 10.9% | 9.19 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | HAPPY GOLF | 9.9% | 10.07 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | TEAM HAPPY | 8.8% | 11.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL LIFE | 7.9% | 12.68 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | TOGEPI | 7.6% | 13.24 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 7.1% | 14.11 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | HERO STAR | 3.6% | 27.76 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 3.5% | 28.53 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | MISTER FOX | 1.4% | 71.14 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 63.5
PLACE
1 34.5
9 22
11 26.5
QUINELLA
9,11 270
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 139.5
1,11 196
9,11 88.5
FORECAST
9,11 478
TIERCE
9,11,1 5,320
TRIO
1,9,11 1,078
FIRST 4
1,3,9,11 1,372
QUARTET
9,11,1,3 32,024
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/8/9 1,684
2/8/11 341
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/1,9,11 72,020
8TH DOUBLE
8/9 238
8/11 64
SIX UP
5,6/2,7/1,12/2,4/4,8/9,11 3,751
5/7/1/2/8/9 34,628
3 [H Bowman] —
3 [A S Cruz] —