跑馬地 · 2024-03-20 · 11:12
第 2場
2024-03-20跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Whyte訓練的COLOURFUL PRINCE勝出，贏出4-1/4。SERGEANT PEPPER獲得亞軍；SKY SONG獲得季軍。5.9倍大熱門SERGEANT PEPPER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT 0.56.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SERGEANT PEPPER E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SKY SONG B1/TT1 B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 1 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 2 | 9.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LEAN MASTER B/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 9.6 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | KING INVINCIBLE B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 8.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SPICY SPANGLE Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 4 | 6.2 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | PHILOS H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 58.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPER FAST DRAGON B/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 10 | 6.7 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE P1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 3 | 13.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SPICY SPANGLE | 21.2% | 4.72 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | UNIVERSAL BLAZE | 12.4% | 8.06 | 12 |
| 3 | 7 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 9.2% | 10.84 | 11 |
| 4 | 9 | LEAN MASTER | 9.1% | 11.00 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 8.9% | 11.20 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 8.3% | 12.02 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 8.3% | 12.07 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 6.0% | 16.57 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | SKY SONG | 5.5% | 18.09 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | KING INVINCIBLE | 4.6% | 21.51 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 4.4% | 22.80 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | PHILOS | 2.0% | 51.24 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 83.5
PLACE
1 49.5
4 28
6 23
QUINELLA
4,6 330.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 217.5
1,6 189.5
4,6 114
FORECAST
4,6 667
TIERCE
4,6,1 10,166
TRIO
1,4,6 1,810
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 1,606
QUARTET
4,6,1,5 42,766
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 2,270
4/6 300