跑馬地 · 2024-03-20 · 12:42
第 5場
2024-03-20跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、C S Shum訓練的SPORTS LEGEND勝出，贏出4-1/4。EASY SNIP獲得亞軍；DAN ATTACK獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門DAN ATTACK跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPORTS LEGEND B1/TT 1.09.60 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 3 | 4.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 7.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | DAN ATTACK TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 8.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | E UNIVERSE TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 2 | 6.7 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | THE KHAN P-/H/SR1/TT- B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 12 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GORGEOUS VITALITY CP- L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 9 | 22.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER CHARIZZARD K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 8 | 8.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | YOUTH POWER TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 5 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | HOSS B/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 7 | 43.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM XB-/H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 24.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | MASTER STROKE TT1 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 10 | 99.0 | 27 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DAN ATTACK | 18.0% | 5.56 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER CHARIZZARD | 13.2% | 7.55 | 8 |
| 3 | 1 | SPORTS LEGEND | 11.0% | 9.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | MY INTELLIGENT | 10.9% | 9.16 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | E UNIVERSE | 10.1% | 9.93 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | EASY SNIP | 9.2% | 10.82 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | GORGEOUS VITALITY | 7.5% | 13.34 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | THE KHAN | 7.0% | 14.35 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | HOSS | 5.2% | 19.10 | 10 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER AXIOM | 3.7% | 27.11 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUTH POWER | 2.5% | 39.77 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | MASTER STROKE | 1.6% | 61.42 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 45.5
PLACE
1 17
5 23.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
1,5 198.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 71
1,10 56
5,10 45.5
FORECAST
1,5 343
TIERCE
1,5,10 1,716
TRIO
1,5,10 229
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 402
QUARTET
1,5,10,12 10,810
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
8/11/1 639
8/11/5 154
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/1,5,10 55,617
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 223
11/5 55