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Happy Valley · 2024-03-20 · 12:42

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPORTS LEGEND, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C S Shum, won by 4-1/4, with EASY SNIP second and DAN ATTACK third. The 4.0 favourite DAN ATTACK finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 SPORTS LEGEND B1/TT 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C S Shum 3 4.5 4-1/4
2 5 EASY SNIP B C L Chau · T P Yung 1 7.6 4-1/4
3 10 DAN ATTACK TT A Hamelin · J Richards 4 4.0 4-1/4
4 12 MY INTELLIGENT V/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 6 8.2 4-3/4
5 4 E UNIVERSE TT E C W Wong · K L Man 2 6.7 5
6 7 THE KHAN P-/H/SR1/TT- B Avdulla · C Fownes 12 12.0 5-1/4
7 8 GORGEOUS VITALITY CP- L Hewitson · F C Lor 9 22.0 5-3/4
8 6 SUPER CHARIZZARD K Teetan · M Newnham 8 8.5 6-1/2
9 9 YOUTH POWER TT K C Leung · D A Hayes 5 45.0 7-3/4
10 2 HOSS B/TT B Thompson · P C Ng 7 43.0 8
11 11 SUPER AXIOM XB-/H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 11 24.0 9
12 3 MASTER STROKE TT1 H Bentley · C H Yip 10 99.0 27

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SPORTS LEGEND2. EASY SNIP+4.25L3. DAN ATTACK+4.25L4. MY INTELLIGENT+4.75L5. E UNIVERSE+5L6. THE KHAN+5.25L7. GORGEOUS VITALITY+5.75L8. SUPER CHARIZZARD+6.5L9. YOUTH POWER+7.75L10. HOSS+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick DAN ATTACK (18.0%) finished 3rd — the winner SPORTS LEGEND was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 DAN ATTACK 18.0% 5.56 3
2 6 SUPER CHARIZZARD 13.2% 7.55 8
3 1 SPORTS LEGEND 11.0% 9.08 1
4 12 MY INTELLIGENT 10.9% 9.16 4
5 4 E UNIVERSE 10.1% 9.93 5
6 5 EASY SNIP 9.2% 10.82 2
7 8 GORGEOUS VITALITY 7.5% 13.34 7
8 7 THE KHAN 7.0% 14.35 6
9 2 HOSS 5.2% 19.10 10
10 11 SUPER AXIOM 3.7% 27.11 11
11 9 YOUTH POWER 2.5% 39.77 9
12 3 MASTER STROKE 1.6% 61.42 12
DAN ATTACKSUPER CHARIZZARDSPORTS LEGEND — wonMY INTELLIGENTE UNIVERSEEASY SNIPGORGEOUS VITALITYTHE KHANHOSSSUPER AXIOMYOUTH POWERMASTER STROKE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 45.5

PLACE

1 17

5 23.5

10 16.5

QUINELLA

1,5 198.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 71

1,10 56

5,10 45.5

FORECAST

1,5 343

TIERCE

1,5,10 1,716

TRIO

1,5,10 229

FIRST 4

1,5,10,12 402

QUARTET

1,5,10,12 10,810

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/11/1 639

8/11/5 154

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

3,10,11/1,5,10 55,617

4TH DOUBLE

11/1 223

11/5 55