Happy Valley · 2024-03-20 · 11:42
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-20 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VIVA A LA, ridden by M F Poon and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with DOUBLE SHOW second and DEVIL AND GOLD third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VIVA A LA H-/B/TT 1.10.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | DEVIL AND GOLD B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | EASY TWO H/V/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 7.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | GENERAL ACE CP K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 7 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 4 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 12 | 64.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | GOOD VIEW GLORY A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 44.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | SUPER ELITE CP/H H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | NOIR RIDER B A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | AUGUST MOON BO/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 10 | 12.0 | 13-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WIND SPEEDER | 16.0% | 6.25 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | VIVA A LA | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 13.8% | 7.26 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER ELITE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | DOUBLE SHOW | 7.6% | 13.17 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | EASY TWO | 6.7% | 14.99 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 6.6% | 15.08 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | AUGUST MOON | 6.1% | 16.29 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | NOIR RIDER | 5.3% | 18.75 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | GOOD VIEW GLORY | 4.0% | 25.10 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | GENERAL ACE | 3.7% | 26.73 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 3.6% | 28.04 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 25
PLACE
5 33.5
8 13
11 35
QUINELLA
5,8 184.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 73
5,11 232.5
8,11 62
FORECAST
8,5 297
TIERCE
8,5,11 2,500
TRIO
5,8,11 612
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 1,981
QUARTET
8,5,11,9 27,951
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/5,8,11 485,019
2ND DOUBLE
4/5 135.5
4/8 566