Happy Valley · 2024-03-20 · 14:53
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COLOURFUL EMPEROR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with WINGS OF WAR second and HEALTHY HEALTHY third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT 1.09.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | WINGS OF WAR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY PC1/TT B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SOLAR PARTNER TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 20.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LESLIE PC-/B2 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD CP/H/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 11 | 27.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED CP/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 8 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | EASON V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 12 | 67.0 | 7-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 19.9% | 5.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SOLAR PARTNER | 14.9% | 6.69 | 6 |
| 3 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 9.9% | 10.06 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | SUGAR SUGAR | 9.8% | 10.23 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | WINGS OF WAR | 9.7% | 10.30 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 7.0% | 14.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 6.6% | 15.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 6.5% | 15.39 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 5.0% | 20.15 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 3.8% | 26.31 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | EASON | 3.5% | 28.47 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | LESLIE | 3.3% | 30.11 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 33
PLACE
5 15.5
7 36
11 16.5
QUINELLA
5,11 69
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 79.5
5,11 28.5
7,11 98
FORECAST
5,11 136
TIERCE
5,11,7 1,022
TRIO
5,7,11 273
FIRST 4
3,5,7,11 232
QUARTET
5,11,7,3 4,798
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/8/5 6,935
12/8/11 1,182
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,8/5,7,11 21,630
8TH DOUBLE
8/5 417.5
8/11 79.5
SIX UP
10,11/1,5/2,7/6,12/6,8/5,11 2,992
11/1/2/12/8/5 2,180,047
4 [Y L Chung] —
6 [T P Yung] —