Happy Valley · 2024-03-20 · 18:41
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly B- 1.50.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 32.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 11 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 5 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER Closed strongly H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 4.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | FASTPASS B/SR/XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 57.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GO GO GO TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 6 | 6.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK Led early H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-20 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by A Badel and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with SUPERB DADDY second and CIRCUIT ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite SMART BEAUTY finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DIAMOND WINNER | 20.5% | 4.87 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 19.1% | 5.24 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | GO GO GO | 15.6% | 6.40 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 9.5% | 10.57 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 7.0% | 14.21 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 6.0% | 16.78 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 5.9% | 16.97 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | HORSE OF GOOD LUCK | 5.1% | 19.80 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | FASTPASS | 3.6% | 27.69 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 3.1% | 32.73 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER HORNET | 2.4% | 41.82 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 2.3% | 44.01 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 164
PLACE
4 38
7 39.5
8 91
QUINELLA
4,7 1,079.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 319
4,8 503
7,8 603
FORECAST
4,7 2,083
TIERCE
4,7,8 70,134
TRIO
4,7,8 8,825
FIRST 4
4,7,8,11 10,971
QUARTET
4,7,8,11 305,408