Happy Valley · 2024-03-20 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CONCERTO XB/CP1/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL RICHES Led early CP/TT1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GALLANT VALOUR B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 2.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 10 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR V/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 2 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SUNNY SHINES B- A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 123.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 11 | 41.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL BABY TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 8 | 51.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BABY B/TT E C W Wong · M Newnham | E C W Wong | M Newnham | 9 | 38.0 | 20-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED MAJESTY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with KASA PAPA second and NORTHERN BEAST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite GALLANT VALOUR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT VALOUR | 26.8% | 3.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | ALL RICHES | 12.7% | 7.85 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 12.7% | 7.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CONCERTO | 12.3% | 8.13 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | NORTHERN BEAST | 7.1% | 14.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 6.5% | 15.35 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | DUBLIN STAR | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 5.3% | 18.98 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 4.1% | 24.56 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.9% | 25.46 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 1.8% | 54.71 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SUNNY SHINES | 0.6% | 165.20 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 130
PLACE
2 37
7 20
12 32
QUINELLA
2,7 388.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 106
2,12 186.5
7,12 96
FORECAST
2,7 866
TIERCE
2,7,12 7,962
TRIO
2,7,12 1,311
FIRST 4
2,7,8,12 2,044
QUARTET
2,7,12,8 51,499
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 901
1/7 61.5