跑馬地 · 2024-03-27 · 11:42
第 3場
2024-03-27跑馬地第3場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、F C Lor訓練的CAN'T GO WONG勝出，贏出2。NORTHERN BEAST獲得亞軍；BIG TWO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門BIG TWO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT 1.41.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | NORTHERN BEAST 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | BIG TWO 後段發力 SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | DRAGON DELIGHT 早段領放 CP-/B2/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ASIAN ONE 後段發力 PC-/XB/V2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | BROTHER PEARL CP1 L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 2 | 9.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE 後段發力 B/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 6.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT B2/TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 5 | MASTER OF LUCK B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BIG TWO | 16.6% | 6.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | NORTHERN BEAST | 14.6% | 6.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 12.7% | 7.89 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 12.5% | 8.01 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | CAN'T GO WONG | 11.0% | 9.05 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | BROTHER PEARL | 9.5% | 10.52 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.6% | 15.20 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 6.1% | 16.37 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | ASIAN ONE | 4.7% | 21.38 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.9% | 34.24 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.89 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 57
PLACE
1 19.5
3 20
7 16.5
QUINELLA
1,3 139
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 56
1,7 51.5
3,7 46.5
FORECAST
1,3 334
TIERCE
1,3,7 788
TRIO
1,3,7 112
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 721
QUARTET
1,3,7,8 13,187
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/1,3,5,7 36,385
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 169.5
5/3 24.5