Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BIG TWO Closed strongly SR/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT Led early CP-/B2/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly PC-/XB/V2/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP/H/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 9.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL CP1 L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 2 | 9.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 4 | 6.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND B/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 6 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT B2/TT1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CAN'T GO WONG, ridden by A Badel and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with NORTHERN BEAST second and BIG TWO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite BIG TWO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BIG TWO | 16.6% | 6.03 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | NORTHERN BEAST | 14.6% | 6.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 12.7% | 7.89 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND DIAMOND | 12.5% | 8.01 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 11.0% | 9.05 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL | 9.5% | 10.52 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.6% | 15.20 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 6.1% | 16.37 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 4.7% | 21.38 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 2.9% | 34.24 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.89 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 57
PLACE
1 19.5
3 20
7 16.5
QUINELLA
1,3 139
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 56
1,7 51.5
3,7 46.5
FORECAST
1,3 334
TIERCE
1,3,7 788
TRIO
1,3,7 112
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 721
QUARTET
1,3,7,8 13,187
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,6/1,3,5,7 36,385
2ND DOUBLE
5/1 169.5
5/3 24.5