Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 10:42
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. UNITED ENDEAVORS, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by N, with GALLANT CROWN second and MR ALADDIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H/TT 1.41.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 8 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | MR ALADDIN B H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 4.2 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE Led early TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 44.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 6 | 8.2 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | TO INFINITY B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly B-/XB/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 10 | 75.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 6.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 4 | 23.0 | 3-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MACH TEN A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR ALADDIN | 28.9% | 3.46 | 3 |
| 2 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND | 12.2% | 8.16 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 9.3% | 10.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 8.9% | 11.20 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | TURTLE AGAIN | 8.6% | 11.58 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | VIVA HUNTER | 8.4% | 11.84 | 11 |
| 7 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN | 8.2% | 12.13 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 7.0% | 14.28 | 1 |
| 9 | 2 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 3.2% | 31.73 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | WOOD ON FIRE | 1.9% | 53.58 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | WINNING SEVEN | 1.7% | 57.90 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 1.6% | 61.98 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 120.5
PLACE
4 47.5
6 18
12 34
QUINELLA
4,12 797.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 127
4,12 238.5
6,12 88.5
FORECAST
12,4 1,777
TIERCE
12,4,6 8,932
TRIO
4,6,12 1,254
FIRST 4
4,6,7,12 1,201
QUARTET
12,4,6,7 34,234