Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. SHARPEN BRIGHT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with REACH GOAL second and WINNING STEPS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite PALACE PAL finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly CP-/XB- 2.17.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 3 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 4 | REACH GOAL Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 9 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL V H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 2 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Led early B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 6 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | PALACE PAL V Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 3.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | RUNNING AHEAD C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY V A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 31.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SUNNY BABY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 41.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | WONDER YEARS K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PALACE PAL | 21.0% | 4.75 | 8 |
| 2 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 18.0% | 5.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 13.1% | 7.65 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 12.2% | 8.20 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | LITTLE FAIRY | 8.5% | 11.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | SUNNY BABY | 5.1% | 19.47 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.0% | 19.81 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | RUNNING AHEAD | 4.4% | 22.55 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | REACH GOAL | 4.1% | 24.61 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | FLYING SILVER | 3.8% | 26.21 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING STEPS | 2.9% | 34.76 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | JUBILATION | 1.9% | 54.05 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 48
PLACE
4 37.5
5 17.5
6 75.5
QUINELLA
4,5 250
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 84.5
4,6 287.5
5,6 225.5
FORECAST
5,4 362
TIERCE
5,4,6 10,026
TRIO
4,5,6 2,437
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 9,493
QUARTET
5,4,6,3 153,733
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/4 257.5
12/5 587