Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 14:19
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SHOW RESPECT, ridden by H Bentley and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/4, with ZOOM BOOM second and QUANTUM PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHOW RESPECT Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 1 | 3.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT2 Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 3 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly E C W Wong · K W Lui | E C W Wong | K W Lui | 11 | 17.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | ESCAPE ROUTE H B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY EIGHT TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 7 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 10 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | ALL BEAUTY V1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 8.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | TRUE GENIUS H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 2 | 76.0 | 8 |
| — | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SHOW RESPECT | 23.3% | 4.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 17.1% | 5.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | QUANTUM PATCH | 15.2% | 6.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | ZOOM BOOM | 9.2% | 10.86 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 7.7% | 12.92 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | ALL BEAUTY | 7.7% | 13.06 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | GALLANT WAKING | 6.5% | 15.36 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY EIGHT | 5.0% | 19.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | STAR CONTACT | 4.5% | 22.41 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.1% | 32.39 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | TRUE GENIUS | 0.7% | 135.81 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 33
PLACE
3 20.5
10 15
12 19
QUINELLA
10,12 122
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 43.5
3,12 69
10,12 46.5
FORECAST
10,12 218
TIERCE
10,12,3 995
TRIO
3,10,12 224
FIRST 4
2,3,10,12 260
QUARTET
10,12,3,2 5,084
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/5,10 78
6/12 17.5