Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course A 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SHOW RESPECT Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · M Newnham 1 3.3 1-1/4
2 0 ZOOM BOOM Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte 4 5.9 1-1/4
3 0 QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly TT2 Z Purton · P C Ng 9 5.5 3-1/4
4 0 TOURBILLON PRINCE Led early TT A Badel · T P Yung 3 9.0 3-3/4
5 0 GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly E C W Wong · K W Lui 11 17.0 3-3/4
6 0 STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 11.0 6
7 0 ESCAPE ROUTE H B Thompson · J Size 5 14.0 6
8 0 LUCKY EIGHT TT1 M F Poon · P F Yiu 7 16.0 6-1/2
9 0 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 10 22.0 7
10 0 ALL BEAUTY V1 K Teetan · F C Lor 8 8.5 7-3/4
11 0 TRUE GENIUS H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 2 76.0 8
— 0 NEVER TOO SOON K De Melo · D J Hall — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SHOW RESPECT, ridden by H Bentley and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-1/4, with ZOOM BOOM second and QUANTUM PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SHOW RESPECT—2. ZOOM BOOM+1.25L3. QUANTUM PATCH+3.25L4. TOURBILLON PRINCE+3.75L5. GALLANT WAKING+3.75L6. STAR CONTACT+6L7. ESCAPE ROUTE+6L8. LUCKY EIGHT+6.5L9. ROMANTIC LAOS+7L10. ALL BEAUTY+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SHOW RESPECT (23.3%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SHOW RESPECT 23.3% 4.30 1
2 0 TOURBILLON PRINCE 17.1% 5.84 4
3 0 QUANTUM PATCH 15.2% 6.58 3
4 0 ZOOM BOOM 9.2% 10.86 2
5 0 ESCAPE ROUTE 7.7% 12.92 7
6 0 ALL BEAUTY 7.7% 13.06 10
7 0 GALLANT WAKING 6.5% 15.36 5
8 0 LUCKY EIGHT 5.0% 19.90 8
9 0 STAR CONTACT 4.5% 22.41 6
10 0 ROMANTIC LAOS 3.1% 32.39 9
11 0 TRUE GENIUS 0.7% 135.81 11
SHOW RESPECT — wonTOURBILLON PRINCEQUANTUM PATCHZOOM BOOMESCAPE ROUTEALL BEAUTYGALLANT WAKINGLUCKY EIGHTSTAR CONTACTROMANTIC LAOSTRUE GENIUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 33

PLACE

3 20.5

10 15

12 19

QUINELLA

10,12 122

QUINELLA PLACE

3,10 43.5

3,12 69

10,12 46.5

FORECAST

10,12 218

TIERCE

10,12,3 995

TRIO

3,10,12 224

FIRST 4

2,3,10,12 260

QUARTET

10,12,3,2 5,084

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

6/5,10 78

6/12 17.5