Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT 1.10.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | KING ECCELLENTE SR/XB E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SO AWESOME B/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 2 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | COUNTRY DANCER P-/PC1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 9.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT K De Melo · C S Shum | K De Melo | C S Shum | 6 | 7.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER TAICHI H1/TT1 K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | GALE SAGA B A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 77.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND SOARS TT B Thompson · P F Yiu | B Thompson | P F Yiu | 3 | 57.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST BL/XB/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 60.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 4 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. OUR LUCKY GLORY, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with KING ECCELLENTE second and SO AWESOME third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COUNTRY DANCER | 18.2% | 5.48 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY SOUL | 14.8% | 6.76 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 12.6% | 7.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 11.3% | 8.82 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | KING ECCELLENTE | 9.7% | 10.29 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SO AWESOME | 7.6% | 13.11 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 7.0% | 14.27 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER TAICHI | 6.2% | 16.12 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.0% | 16.70 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND SOARS | 3.4% | 29.84 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | GALE SAGA | 1.9% | 52.38 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 1.2% | 81.24 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 32
PLACE
1 23.5
5 13.5
10 28.5
QUINELLA
1,5 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 59
1,10 121.5
5,10 61
FORECAST
5,1 285
TIERCE
5,1,10 1,811
TRIO
1,5,10 399
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 477
QUARTET
5,1,10,12 8,593
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 172.5
5/5 297