Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SNOWALOT Closed strongly B 1.40.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 37.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON STAR V/XB E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PACKING WISHER B1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 69.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | YEABOI B/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | KILINDINI Led early XB/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 3 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ICON B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 35.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FEELING CP/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 74.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS H/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 9.5 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PO ON WAY M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SNOWALOT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with CAPITAL LEGEND second and TURIN WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite CAPITAL LEGEND finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SNOWALOT | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | DRAGON STAR | 11.9% | 8.39 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | KILINDINI | 10.4% | 9.66 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 10.2% | 9.84 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | YEABOI | 8.8% | 11.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 8.1% | 12.28 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | HARRY'S HERO | 4.8% | 20.66 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 3.3% | 30.24 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.3% | 42.77 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | HAPPY FEELING | 1.3% | 75.23 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | PACKING WISHER | 1.0% | 99.45 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 70
PLACE
3 18
5 26
7 35.5
QUINELLA
3,5 153.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 59
3,7 105.5
5,7 125.5
FORECAST
5,3 342
TIERCE
5,3,7 2,396
TRIO
3,5,7 395
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 2,573
QUARTET
5,3,7,6 59,365
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/11/3 91
1/11/5 1,720
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/3,5,7 300,933
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 15.5
11/5 267