Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 21:46
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY WAVES SR-/XB-/TT1 0.56.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 118.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | ACT OF FAITH B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 8.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 101.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | GREAT STATE TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FLYING HIGH TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 3 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | MA COMET P1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 9 | 88.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 7 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 4 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY WAVES, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with HARMONY FIRE second and HEROIC MASTER third. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY WAVES | 30.1% | 3.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ACT OF FAITH | 16.1% | 6.21 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY UNITED | 13.7% | 7.32 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | HEROIC MASTER | 10.0% | 9.99 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ATOMIC FORCE | 6.4% | 15.70 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | HARMONY FIRE | 6.1% | 16.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING HIGH | 5.9% | 16.84 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | GREAT STATE | 4.1% | 24.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 4.1% | 24.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | MA COMET | 1.8% | 56.72 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 1.1% | 95.21 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 0.8% | 129.54 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 16.5
PLACE
4 19.5
6 10.1
7 30.5
QUINELLA
6,7 82
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 26
4,7 89.5
6,7 38.5
FORECAST
6,7 134
TIERCE
6,7,4 534
TRIO
4,6,7 176
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 2,744
QUARTET
6,7,4,9 19,382
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/4,6,7 7,412
6TH DOUBLE
5/6 50.5
5/7 67.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,7/1,5,10/4,6,7 346,680
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,7/1,5,10/Any Combination 4,581