跑馬地 · 2024-03-27 · 13:46
第 7場
2024-03-27跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的BEAUTY WAVES勝出，贏出1/2。HARMONY FIRE獲得亞軍；HEROIC MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY WAVES SR-/XB-/TT1 0.56.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | HEROIC MASTER CP/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 118.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 1 | 8.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 101.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | GREAT STATE TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 10 | 35.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | FLYING HIGH TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 3 | 52.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | MA COMET P1/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 9 | 88.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 7 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 4 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY WAVES | 30.1% | 3.33 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ACT OF FAITH | 16.1% | 6.21 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED | 13.7% | 7.32 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | HEROIC MASTER | 10.0% | 9.99 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 6.4% | 15.70 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | HARMONY FIRE | 6.1% | 16.49 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | FLYING HIGH | 5.9% | 16.84 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | GREAT STATE | 4.1% | 24.19 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 4.1% | 24.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | MA COMET | 1.8% | 56.72 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 1.1% | 95.21 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | CALIFORNIA TOUCH | 0.8% | 129.54 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 16.5
PLACE
4 19.5
6 10.1
7 30.5
QUINELLA
6,7 82
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 26
4,7 89.5
6,7 38.5
FORECAST
6,7 134
TIERCE
6,7,4 534
TRIO
4,6,7 176
FIRST 4
4,6,7,9 2,744
QUARTET
6,7,4,9 19,382
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,10/4,6,7 7,412
6TH DOUBLE
5/6 50.5
5/7 67.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,7/1,5,10/4,6,7 346,680
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,7/1,5,10/Any Combination 4,581