跑馬地 · 2024-03-27 · 12:42
第 5場
2024-03-27跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的SNOWALOT勝出，贏出1/2。CAPITAL LEGEND獲得亞軍；TURIN WARRIOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門CAPITAL LEGEND跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SNOWALOT 後段發力 B 1.40.35 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HARRY'S HERO 後段發力 H/XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 37.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON STAR V/XB E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 9 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | PACKING WISHER B1/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 69.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | YEABOI B/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | KILINDINI 早段領放 XB/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 3 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ICON B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 35.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY FEELING CP/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 74.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS H/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 9.5 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PO ON WAY M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | SNOWALOT | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | DRAGON STAR | 11.9% | 8.39 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | KILINDINI | 10.4% | 9.66 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING TEENS | 10.2% | 9.84 | 12 |
| 6 | 12 | YEABOI | 8.8% | 11.35 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | TURIN WARRIOR | 8.1% | 12.28 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | HARRY'S HERO | 4.8% | 20.66 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 3.3% | 30.24 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.3% | 42.77 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY FEELING | 1.3% | 75.23 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | PACKING WISHER | 1.0% | 99.45 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 70
PLACE
3 18
5 26
7 35.5
QUINELLA
3,5 153.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 59
3,7 105.5
5,7 125.5
FORECAST
5,3 342
TIERCE
5,3,7 2,396
TRIO
3,5,7 395
FIRST 4
3,5,6,7 2,573
QUARTET
5,3,7,6 59,365
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/11/3 91
1/11/5 1,720
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/3,5,7 300,933
4TH DOUBLE
11/3 15.5
11/5 267