Happy Valley · 2024-03-27 · 14:54
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-03-27 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HARMONY N BLESSED, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2-1/4, with BEAUTY INFINITY second and CAPTAIN WIN third. The 2.2 favourite BEAUTY INFINITY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED CP-/B2/TT 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 7 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY INFINITY Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 2.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | CAPTAIN WIN B K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 3.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY H-/CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HELENE WARRIOR K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 9 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 4 | 84.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | FASHION LEGEND TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 5 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | JOY COMING B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 15.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | KING GLORIOSO H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | O'LINER TT H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 1 | 8.5 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 33.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPERSONIC XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 10 | 118.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 31.3% | 3.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | CAPTAIN WIN | 15.1% | 6.62 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | O'LINER | 14.2% | 7.02 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 6.7% | 14.87 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | JOY COMING | 6.4% | 15.56 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 5.8% | 17.30 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | FASHION LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 4.4% | 22.86 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 4.0% | 24.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | KING GLORIOSO | 3.2% | 31.46 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | HELENE WARRIOR | 2.5% | 40.77 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | SUPERSONIC | 0.7% | 146.10 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 207
PLACE
2 34.5
4 11.5
11 14
QUINELLA
2,4 175
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 66
2,11 82.5
4,11 18
FORECAST
2,4 600
TIERCE
2,4,11 1,617
TRIO
2,4,11 155
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 615
QUARTET
2,4,11,7 19,979
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/5,10/2 1,932
6/5,10/4 26
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,10,12/2,4,11 4,971
8TH DOUBLE
5,10/2 1,084.5
5,10/4 17.5
SIX UP
7,11/3,5/1,5/6,7/5,10,12/2,4 317
11/5/5/6/5,10/2 194,185
10 [D A Hayes] —
2 [H Bentley] —