沙田 · 2024-04-07 · 19:58
第 6場
2024-04-07沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的FULL CREDIT勝出，贏出5-1/4。RUBYLOT獲得亞軍；LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FULL CREDIT 1.09.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 2.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | RUBYLOT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 3.6 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HANDSOME BOMB TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SILVER DESTINY TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 26.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | EVER SMART H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 13 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ACE POWER L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 73.0 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER TAICHI H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 5 | 93.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 13 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 6 | 66.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GIANT LEAP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 26.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | STARMEN TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 10.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | WINNING MONEY TT1 K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 12 | 25.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | ISLAND BUDDY B1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 9 | 110.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 10 | ON THE LASH B1/XB1 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 14 | 158.0 | 15-1/2 |
| — | 0 | JUDY'S GREAT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | STARMEN | 17.5% | 5.73 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 13.5% | 7.40 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | FULL CREDIT | 11.5% | 8.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | RUBYLOT | 9.9% | 10.07 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | ON THE LASH | 8.2% | 12.16 | 14 |
| 6 | 6 | EVER SMART | 8.2% | 12.23 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | HANDSOME BOMB | 8.1% | 12.28 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | WINNING MONEY | 5.7% | 17.56 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | GIANT LEAP | 5.5% | 18.09 | 10 |
| 10 | 14 | SILVER DESTINY | 3.9% | 25.64 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | ISLAND BUDDY | 3.7% | 27.11 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | ACE POWER | 1.6% | 62.31 | 7 |
| 13 | 13 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.4% | 72.04 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | SUPER TAICHI | 1.2% | 82.64 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 26.5
PLACE
1 16
2 15
4 12.5
QUINELLA
1,4 72
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 30
1,4 27
2,4 23
FORECAST
4,1 125
TIERCE
4,1,2 261
TRIO
1,2,4 53
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 198
QUARTET
4,1,2,8 3,530
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,4/1,2,4 2,990
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 54
1/4 353.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,5,8/1,3,4/1,2,4 347,117
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,5,8/1,3,4/Any Combination 6,942