沙田 · 2024-04-07 · 19:58
第 9場
2024-04-07沙田第9場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由B Avdulla策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIATOTALITY勝出，贏出3/4。LAUGH TALE獲得亞軍；CAN'T GO WONG獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY 後段發力 B/TT 1.36.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LAUGH TALE 後段發力 XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | G LINER 早段領放 H/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MISTER DAPPER H/SR/XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FIGHT TIME 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 3 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 6.3 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE 後段發力 XB-/B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 82.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER WISE DRAGON 後段發力 TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | PING HAI COMET H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 35.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | STORM WINNER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 108.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | TIGER AND GOLD B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 10 | 180.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES | 18.0% | 5.57 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 14.7% | 6.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | G LINER | 12.0% | 8.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | AESTHETICISM | 11.5% | 8.69 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 8.6% | 11.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG | 8.3% | 12.01 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | LAUGH TALE | 6.8% | 14.78 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | MISTER DAPPER | 6.6% | 15.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.45 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | FIGHT TIME | 2.2% | 45.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | PING HAI COMET | 1.8% | 54.55 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.7% | 60.40 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | STORM WINNER | 0.7% | 145.57 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.6% | 163.93 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 22
PLACE
2 43.5
7 12.5
14 30.5
QUINELLA
2,7 196
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 77
2,14 198
7,14 47
FORECAST
7,2 257
TIERCE
7,2,14 1,393
TRIO
2,7,14 402
FIRST 4
2,4,7,14 594
QUARTET
7,2,14,4 7,182
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
3/2 103.5
3/7 127.5