Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 17:33
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.36.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 2.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | LAUGH TALE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 11 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | G LINER Led early H/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 14 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | MISTER DAPPER H/SR/XB A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 6 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FIGHT TIME Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 3 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 1 | 6.3 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE Closed strongly XB-/B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 13 | 82.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER WISE DRAGON Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | PING HAI COMET H A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 35.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | STORM WINNER H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 108.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | TIGER AND GOLD B B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 10 | 180.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with LAUGH TALE second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CELTIC TIMES | 18.0% | 5.57 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 14.7% | 6.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | G LINER | 12.0% | 8.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | AESTHETICISM | 11.5% | 8.69 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 8.6% | 11.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 14 | CAN'T GO WONG | 8.3% | 12.01 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | LAUGH TALE | 6.8% | 14.78 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | MISTER DAPPER | 6.6% | 15.09 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.45 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | FIGHT TIME | 2.2% | 45.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | PING HAI COMET | 1.8% | 54.55 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | ABSOLUTE SUNSHINE | 1.7% | 60.40 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | STORM WINNER | 0.7% | 145.57 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.6% | 163.93 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 22
PLACE
2 43.5
7 12.5
14 30.5
QUINELLA
2,7 196
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 77
2,14 198
7,14 47
FORECAST
7,2 257
TIERCE
7,2,14 1,393
TRIO
2,7,14 402
FIRST 4
2,4,7,14 594
QUARTET
7,2,14,4 7,182
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
3/2 103.5
3/7 127.5