Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 19:58
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HASTEN DELIGHT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-3/4, with CALIFORNIA DEEPLY second and LADY'S CHOICE third. The 2.4 favourite LADY'S CHOICE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT B/TT 1.08.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 3 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE V-/H/B2 Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 1 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | NORTHERN BEACHES L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CHAMPION INSTINCT B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 9 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ROBOT MASTER SR/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 8 | 140.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | ENDEARED XB A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 7.1 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | APOLAR FIGHTER B1 M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 102.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SEA AIR LEGEND K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 61.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 31.6% | 3.16 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | HASTEN DELIGHT | 17.9% | 5.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 17.1% | 5.84 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | ENDEARED | 13.9% | 7.18 | 7 |
| 5 | 2 | NORTHERN BEACHES | 8.4% | 11.87 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 5.0% | 19.96 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SEA AIR LEGEND | 4.1% | 24.50 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 1.4% | 70.01 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | ROBOT MASTER | 0.5% | 192.68 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 57
PLACE
1 15.5
3 13
4 31.5
QUINELLA
1,4 359.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 26
1,4 92.5
3,4 50.5
FORECAST
1,4 590
TIERCE
1,4,3 1,749
TRIO
1,3,4 191
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 264
QUARTET
1,4,3,2 9,598
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
2/2/1 1,814
2/2/4 572
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 617
2/4 208