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Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 16:58

Race 8

Group 2 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT 1.34.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz 1 4.6 1-1/4
2 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 8 2.1 1-1/4
3 6 RED LION Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size 12 24.0 2-1/2
4 5 NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu 2 13.0 2-1/2
5 11 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor 10 10.0 3-1/4
6 10 TAJ DRAGON M Chadwick · P C Ng 6 15.0 3-3/4
7 12 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So 13 23.0 4-1/2
8 4 SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor 5 38.0 4-1/2
9 8 HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor 11 99.0 4-3/4
10 13 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 9 33.0 6-1/4
11 1 RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly SR H Bowman · D J Whyte 3 28.0 7
12 9 MONEY CATCHER V K De Melo · F C Lor 7 59.0 9
13 7 ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · K L Man 4 10.0 17-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY ETERNAL second and RED LION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite BEAUTY ETERNAL finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY JOY—2. BEAUTY ETERNAL+1.25L3. RED LION+2.5L4. NIMBLE NIMBUS+2.5L5. HAPPY TOGETHER+3.25L6. TAJ DRAGON+3.75L7. SUPER SUNNY SING+4.5L8. SWORD POINT+4.5L9. HEALTHY HAPPY+4.75L10. THE BEST PEACH+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick BEAUTY ETERNAL (27.9%) finished 2nd — the winner BEAUTY JOY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 BEAUTY ETERNAL 27.9% 3.59 2
2 5 NIMBLE NIMBUS 11.6% 8.62 4
3 11 HAPPY TOGETHER 8.9% 11.24 5
4 6 RED LION 8.7% 11.51 3
5 7 ENCOUNTERED 8.2% 12.17 13
6 3 BEAUTY JOY 6.5% 15.37 1
7 1 RUSSIAN EMPEROR 5.5% 18.25 11
8 12 SUPER SUNNY SING 5.1% 19.74 7
9 10 TAJ DRAGON 4.9% 20.32 6
10 13 THE BEST PEACH 4.9% 20.48 10
11 8 HEALTHY HAPPY 3.8% 26.05 9
12 4 SWORD POINT 2.2% 46.48 8
13 9 MONEY CATCHER 1.9% 53.52 12
BEAUTY ETERNALNIMBLE NIMBUSHAPPY TOGETHERRED LIONENCOUNTEREDBEAUTY JOY — wonRUSSIAN EMPERORSUPER SUNNY SINGTAJ DRAGONTHE BEST PEACHHEALTHY HAPPYSWORD POINTMONEY CATCHER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 46

PLACE

2 11.5

3 17

6 49

QUINELLA

2,3 49

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 24.5

2,6 99

3,6 165

FORECAST

3,2 125

TIERCE

3,2,6 1,488

TRIO

2,3,6 327

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 681

QUARTET

3,2,6,5 14,846

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,8/2,3,6 15,119

7TH DOUBLE

1/2 10.5

1/3 129