Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 19:58
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Group 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/4, with BEAUTY ETERNAL second and RED LION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite BEAUTY ETERNAL finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT 1.34.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | RED LION Closed strongly A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 12 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | TAJ DRAGON M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 6 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 13 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 11 | 99.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 3 | 28.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER V K De Melo · F C Lor | K De Melo | F C Lor | 7 | 59.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 27.9% | 3.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 11.6% | 8.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 8.9% | 11.24 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | RED LION | 8.7% | 11.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | ENCOUNTERED | 8.2% | 12.17 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | BEAUTY JOY | 6.5% | 15.37 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 5.5% | 18.25 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 5.1% | 19.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | TAJ DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.32 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | THE BEST PEACH | 4.9% | 20.48 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 3.8% | 26.05 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | SWORD POINT | 2.2% | 46.48 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | MONEY CATCHER | 1.9% | 53.52 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 46
PLACE
2 11.5
3 17
6 49
QUINELLA
2,3 49
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 24.5
2,6 99
3,6 165
FORECAST
3,2 125
TIERCE
3,2,6 1,488
TRIO
2,3,6 327
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 681
QUARTET
3,2,6,5 14,846
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/2,3,6 15,119
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 10.5
1/3 129