Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 19:58
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. WINNING STEPS, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P C Ng, won by 3/4, with LEGION OF MERIT second and CHATEAU LE PECHE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite SATIRICAL GLORY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC 2.01.07 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 1 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT Closed strongly K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY H H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ME TIME Closed strongly SR/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 10 | 30.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 13 | 99.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | FRUITY WARRIOR B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 7.5 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SOLAR GOGO B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 7 | 74.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE Led early B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 14.0 | 17 |
| — | 8 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 19.3% | 5.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | DARCI JOY | 13.5% | 7.39 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 8.9% | 11.28 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.7% | 11.50 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING STEPS | 7.5% | 13.37 | 1 |
| 7 | 13 | FLYING SILVER | 5.2% | 19.34 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | LEGION OF MERIT | 4.1% | 24.27 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.8% | 26.25 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY BABY | 3.6% | 27.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | ME TIME | 2.8% | 35.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 2.0% | 49.56 | 3 |
| 13 | 2 | SOLAR GOGO | 2.0% | 51.18 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 124
PLACE
7 120
10 35
14 63
QUINELLA
10,14 1,458.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 622.5
7,14 1,060
10,14 423
FORECAST
10,14 3,161
TIERCE
10,14,7 64,674
TRIO
7,10,14 13,742
FIRST 4
5,7,10,14 12,807
QUARTET
10,14,7,5 414,736
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/10 546
7/14 352
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,13/7,10,14 2,641,953