Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 14:18
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER GOLDI Closed strongly 1.22.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 7.5 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly XB K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 6 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 5 | CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 12 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | AFFIRM Led early TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ARIEL Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes | A Atzeni | D A Hayes | 13 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | THE KHAN Closed strongly H/SR A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | MISSION VOICE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIA ICON Closed strongly V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 92.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | BIG RED B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 8 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER BONUS B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 11 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | V LOVE YOU TT B Thompson · C S Shum | B Thompson | C S Shum | 2 | 87.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 13 | LADY BILLIE H/P1/TT- M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 4 | 186.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | DUBLIN STAR V/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 21.0 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ALWAYS FLUKE H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 11 | CHATEAU PC- A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 16.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER GOLDI, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SMILING COLLECTOR second and CIRCUIT FIERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite AFFIRM finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | AFFIRM | 28.1% | 3.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | ARIEL | 13.9% | 7.18 | 5 |
| 3 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 13.5% | 7.41 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 11.2% | 8.96 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | SUPER GOLDI | 6.6% | 15.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER BONUS | 5.4% | 18.53 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | THE KHAN | 5.4% | 18.59 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | MISSION VOICE | 4.9% | 20.57 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | DUBLIN STAR | 4.3% | 23.43 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | BIG RED | 2.8% | 35.33 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 1.5% | 64.88 | 8 |
| 12 | 14 | V LOVE YOU | 1.4% | 70.03 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | LADY BILLIE | 1.1% | 93.56 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 75
PLACE
2 27
5 56
8 18.5
QUINELLA
2,8 210
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 226
2,8 74
5,8 187.5
FORECAST
2,8 470
TIERCE
2,8,5 6,492
TRIO
2,5,8 1,280
FIRST 4
2,4,5,8 933
QUARTET
2,8,5,4 28,971
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/2,5,8 25,946
3RD DOUBLE
2/2 174.5
2/8 28