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Sha Tin · 2024-04-07 · 12:46

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 MASTER OF ALL Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So 5 4.4 1/2
2 13 GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly H-/CP/TT- K Teetan · D J Whyte 3 6.5 1/2
3 2 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly CP/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 6 7.7 1
4 4 MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 2 20.0 2
5 12 FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly PC-/XB-/B2/TT A Badel · J Richards 9 20.0 2-1/4
6 8 DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 11 14.0 2-1/4
7 9 EAGLE RUN XB-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 12.0 2-3/4
8 6 MORE RICE Led early B- L Hewitson · T P Yung 1 10.0 3
9 11 STAR OF GLORY B A Atzeni · C W Chang 13 11.0 4-1/2
10 5 URBAN TRIUMPH Closed strongly CP/H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 10 66.0 5-1/2
11 10 EASY TWO V-/H/TT M F Poon · K H Ting 4 32.0 11-3/4
12 3 CHIU CHOW BROTHER B/TT- H Bowman · K L Man 12 5.8 12-1/4
13 1 GO HERO TT L Ferraris · Y S Tsui 8 41.0 14
14 14 DEVIL AND GOLD B M Chadwick · C H Yip 14 34.0 17

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-07 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MASTER OF ALL, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with GENERAL WINNER second and YEE CHEONG WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASTER OF ALL—2. GENERAL WINNER+0.5L3. YEE CHEONG WARRIOR+1L4. MEDIC ELITE+2L5. FORTUNE MASTER+2.25L6. DRAGON DELIGHT+2.25L7. EAGLE RUN+2.75L8. MORE RICE+3L9. STAR OF GLORY+4.5L10. URBAN TRIUMPH+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MEDIC ELITE (17.6%) finished 4th — the winner MASTER OF ALL was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MEDIC ELITE 17.6% 5.69 4
2 2 YEE CHEONG WARRIOR 12.0% 8.33 3
3 8 DRAGON DELIGHT 8.7% 11.43 6
4 13 GENERAL WINNER 8.0% 12.47 2
5 7 MASTER OF ALL 7.8% 12.79 1
6 12 FORTUNE MASTER 7.4% 13.53 5
7 6 MORE RICE 6.5% 15.33 8
8 3 CHIU CHOW BROTHER 6.4% 15.65 12
9 11 STAR OF GLORY 6.1% 16.29 9
10 10 EASY TWO 4.8% 21.00 11
11 9 EAGLE RUN 4.6% 21.54 7
12 14 DEVIL AND GOLD 4.6% 21.83 14
13 5 URBAN TRIUMPH 3.3% 30.00 10
14 1 GO HERO 2.1% 48.42 13
MEDIC ELITEYEE CHEONG WARRIORDRAGON DELIGHTGENERAL WINNERMASTER OF ALL — wonFORTUNE MASTERMORE RICECHIU CHOW BROTHERSTAR OF GLORYEASY TWOEAGLE RUNDEVIL AND GOLDURBAN TRIUMPHGO HERO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 44.5

PLACE

2 27

7 17

13 25.5

QUINELLA

7,13 159.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 65.5

2,13 91.5

7,13 63

FORECAST

7,13 302

TIERCE

7,13,2 1,563

TRIO

2,7,13 345

FIRST 4

2,4,7,13 1,182

QUARTET

7,13,2,4 24,271