沙田 · 2024-04-07 · 19:58
第 2場
2024-04-07沙田第2場，Class 4，途程2000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、P C Ng訓練的WINNING STEPS勝出，贏出3/4。LEGION OF MERIT獲得亞軍；CHATEAU LE PECHE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.9倍大熱門SATIRICAL GLORY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WINNING STEPS 後段發力 H/PC 2.01.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 14 | LEGION OF MERIT 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 1 | 26.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CHATEAU LE PECHE 後段發力 B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 4 | 45.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT 後段發力 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 12 | 5.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY H H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | DARCI JOY 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 9 | 4.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 8.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | ME TIME 後段發力 SR/TT A Atzeni · D J Whyte | A Atzeni | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING SILVER 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 10 | 30.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 13 | 99.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | FRUITY WARRIOR B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 7.5 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SOLAR GOGO B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 7 | 74.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 11 | 14.0 | 17 |
| — | 8 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 19.3% | 5.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 18.6% | 5.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | DARCI JOY | 13.5% | 7.39 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 8.9% | 11.28 | 11 |
| 5 | 1 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.7% | 11.50 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | WINNING STEPS | 7.5% | 13.37 | 1 |
| 7 | 13 | FLYING SILVER | 5.2% | 19.34 | 9 |
| 8 | 14 | LEGION OF MERIT | 4.1% | 24.27 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.8% | 26.25 | 13 |
| 10 | 12 | SUNNY BABY | 3.6% | 27.40 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | ME TIME | 2.8% | 35.70 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 2.0% | 49.56 | 3 |
| 13 | 2 | SOLAR GOGO | 2.0% | 51.18 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 124
PLACE
7 120
10 35
14 63
QUINELLA
10,14 1,458.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 622.5
7,14 1,060
10,14 423
FORECAST
10,14 3,161
TIERCE
10,14,7 64,674
TRIO
7,10,14 13,742
FIRST 4
5,7,10,14 12,807
QUARTET
10,14,7,5 414,736
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/10 546
7/14 352
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,7,13/7,10,14 2,641,953