沙田 · 2024-06-08 · 10:06
第 5場
2024-06-08沙田第5場,Class 4,途程1400米,跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、F C Lor訓練的ENJOY GOLF勝出,贏出2。MASTER OF ALL獲得亞軍;RUN RUN TIMING獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.8倍大熱門MASTER OF ALL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ENJOY GOLF 一路領先 1.22.43 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 7 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | MASTER OF ALL B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 9 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | PATCH OF TIME H1/TT2 K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 3 | 6.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 36.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | GREAT ACHIEVER 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 51.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | STAR LINE B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 1 | 48.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | FOOLISH HEART 後段發力 V/TT1 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 14 | 8.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | MILES AWAY A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 102.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | THE KHAN 後段發力 H/SR C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 16.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | FLOOF CP1/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui | A Hamelin | K W Lui | 10 | 45.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | KYEEMA TT B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 13 | 84.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 1 | DREAM PURSUER B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 17.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MASTER OF ALL | 25.0% | 3.99 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | ENJOY GOLF | 16.9% | 5.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | DREAM PURSUER | 11.9% | 8.38 | 14 |
| 4 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER | 8.0% | 12.55 | 10 |
| 5 | 12 | PATCH OF TIME | 7.7% | 12.98 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING | 5.8% | 17.10 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | THE KHAN | 5.3% | 18.86 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | MILES AWAY | 4.7% | 21.13 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | FOOLISH HEART | 4.6% | 21.70 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | STAR LINE | 3.6% | 27.48 | 7 |
| 11 | 13 | GREAT ACHIEVER | 3.2% | 31.18 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | KYEEMA | 1.1% | 89.78 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | FLOOF | 1.0% | 95.95 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 0.9% | 105.95 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 54.5
PLACE
3 35
7 21
10 14
QUINELLA
7,10 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 104
3,10 71.5
7,10 40.5
FORECAST
7,10 234
TIERCE
7,10,3 1,640
TRIO
3,7,10 254
FIRST 4
3,7,10,12 252
QUARTET
7,10,3,12 6,813
全部彩池(另 2 項)
1ST TREBLE
7/1/7 184
7/1/10 17
4TH DOUBLE
1/7 63
1/10 10.5