沙田 · 2024-06-08 · 10:37
第 6場
2024-06-08沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bentley策騎、K H Ting訓練的LO PAN SPIRIT勝出，贏出3-1/4。GLUCK RACER獲得亞軍；SUPER INFINITY獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門SUPER INFINITY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LO PAN SPIRIT B 1.09.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 6 | 3.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | GLUCK RACER H K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER INFINITY Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 9 | 2.1 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | HAROLD WIN XB1 A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING ROMANTIC M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 150.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | THE AZURE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 131.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 5 | 7.6 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | BOWSER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | IVICTORIAM B/XB/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 11 | 138.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | SEA AIR LEGEND TT- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 166.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER TAICHI H-/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 10 | 141.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | GOLDEN TITLE TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 7 | 103.0 | 15-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER INFINITY | 29.6% | 3.38 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | LO PAN SPIRIT | 23.8% | 4.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | GLUCK RACER | 11.4% | 8.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | BOWSER | 10.9% | 9.15 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | GANGNAM STAR | 9.1% | 10.97 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | HAROLD WIN | 9.1% | 11.02 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | GOLDEN TITLE | 1.3% | 76.72 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 1.1% | 87.46 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER TAICHI | 1.0% | 98.45 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | SEA AIR LEGEND | 1.0% | 102.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | THE AZURE | 0.8% | 120.04 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | IVICTORIAM | 0.8% | 123.69 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 30.5
PLACE
2 12
4 11
11 23
QUINELLA
2,11 117
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 17
2,11 38
4,11 37
FORECAST
2,11 176
TIERCE
2,11,4 511
TRIO
2,4,11 78
FIRST 4
2,4,5,11 97
QUARTET
2,11,4,5 2,265
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,10/2,4,11 1,852
5TH DOUBLE
7/2 220
7/11 143.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,8/3,7,10/2,4,11 21,132
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,8/3,7,10/Any Combination 422