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Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 10:37

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. LO PAN SPIRIT, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by 3-1/4, with GLUCK RACER second and SUPER INFINITY third. The 2.1 favourite SUPER INFINITY finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.09.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 LO PAN SPIRIT B 1.09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting 6 3.0 3-1/4
2 11 GLUCK RACER H K Teetan · W K Mo 2 10.0 3-1/4
3 4 SUPER INFINITY Z Purton · M Newnham 9 2.1 3-1/2
4 5 HAROLD WIN XB1 A Atzeni · K W Lui 4 10.0 3-1/2
5 9 FLYING ROMANTIC M F Poon · D J Hall 1 150.0 4
6 6 THE AZURE K C Leung · F C Lor 8 131.0 6-1/4
7 12 GANGNAM STAR XB M Chadwick · P C Ng 5 7.6 6-1/4
8 1 BOWSER TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu 3 22.0 7-3/4
9 8 IVICTORIAM B/XB/TT B Thompson · J Richards 11 138.0 8-1/2
10 3 SEA AIR LEGEND TT- Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 12 166.0 9
11 10 SUPER TAICHI H-/TT A Badel · C Fownes 10 141.0 11
12 7 GOLDEN TITLE TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 7 103.0 15-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LO PAN SPIRIT2. GLUCK RACER+3.25L3. SUPER INFINITY+3.5L4. HAROLD WIN+3.5L5. FLYING ROMANTIC+4L6. THE AZURE+6.25L7. GANGNAM STAR+6.25L8. BOWSER+7.75L9. IVICTORIAM+8.5L10. SEA AIR LEGEND+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick SUPER INFINITY (29.6%) finished 3rd — the winner LO PAN SPIRIT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 SUPER INFINITY 29.6% 3.38 3
2 2 LO PAN SPIRIT 23.8% 4.21 1
3 11 GLUCK RACER 11.4% 8.74 2
4 1 BOWSER 10.9% 9.15 8
5 12 GANGNAM STAR 9.1% 10.97 7
6 5 HAROLD WIN 9.1% 11.02 4
7 7 GOLDEN TITLE 1.3% 76.72 12
8 9 FLYING ROMANTIC 1.1% 87.46 5
9 10 SUPER TAICHI 1.0% 98.45 11
10 3 SEA AIR LEGEND 1.0% 102.06 10
11 6 THE AZURE 0.8% 120.04 6
12 8 IVICTORIAM 0.8% 123.69 9
SUPER INFINITYLO PAN SPIRIT — wonGLUCK RACERBOWSERGANGNAM STARHAROLD WINGOLDEN TITLEFLYING ROMANTICSUPER TAICHISEA AIR LEGENDTHE AZUREIVICTORIAM

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 30.5

PLACE

2 12

4 11

11 23

QUINELLA

2,11 117

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 17

2,11 38

4,11 37

FORECAST

2,11 176

TIERCE

2,11,4 511

TRIO

2,4,11 78

FIRST 4

2,4,5,11 97

QUARTET

2,11,4,5 2,265

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,7,10/2,4,11 1,852

5TH DOUBLE

7/2 220

7/11 143.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,8/3,7,10/2,4,11 21,132

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,8/3,7,10/Any Combination 422