Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 09:01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KA YING VICTORY, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with BABY CRYSTAL second and FLYING HIGH third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KA YING VICTORY 0.56.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 6 | 2.1 | N |
| 2 | 2 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT E C W Wong · K W Lui | E C W Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 2.9 | N |
| 3 | 5 | FLYING HIGH TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | WE ARE HERO V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 9.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | BRAVE STAR XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 3 | 47.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | ACE VICTORY TT- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 4 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER SR/H1 Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 7 | 51.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BABY CRYSTAL | 37.8% | 2.65 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | KA YING VICTORY | 21.0% | 4.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 7.0% | 14.37 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | BRAVE STAR | 6.4% | 15.60 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | FLYING HIGH | 5.7% | 17.42 | 3 |
| 6 | 8 | ACE VICTORY | 5.6% | 17.85 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 5.6% | 17.95 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER LOVE DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.18 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER | 3.1% | 32.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | WE ARE HERO | 2.7% | 37.46 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 21.5
PLACE
2 14
5 25.5
7 10.1
QUINELLA
2,7 29
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 40.5
2,7 16
5,7 34
FORECAST
7,2 60
TIERCE
7,2,5 243
TRIO
2,5,7 73
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 99
QUARTET
7,2,5,1 880
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/2 15.5
7/7 55