Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 11:44
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. STUNNING PEACH, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with UNIVERSAL HORIZON second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH Closed strongly TT 1.47.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | SAMARKAND Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly CP-/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 112.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly B-/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | ALACRITY PC-/XB-/V1/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 6 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | FLAMINGO TRILLION Led early K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 5.7 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | ESCAPE ROUTE H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 17.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | STAR MAC CP H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.5 | 44-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | NICHOLSON RETURNS B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 13 | 30.0 | 47-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | STUNNING PEACH | 32.3% | 3.10 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | STAR MAC | 12.0% | 8.35 | 12 |
| 3 | 5 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 10.3% | 9.71 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | SAMARKAND | 8.8% | 11.32 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 7.2% | 13.89 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | WINNING DRAGON | 6.1% | 16.42 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 5.9% | 17.04 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 5.1% | 19.79 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | ALACRITY | 3.1% | 32.13 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPREME AGILITY | 2.6% | 37.89 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 2.5% | 40.68 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 2.4% | 41.89 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | BEAUTY LIVE | 1.8% | 55.21 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 30.5
PLACE
1 15
6 48.5
8 30
QUINELLA
1,6 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 114
1,8 60
6,8 298.5
FORECAST
1,6 469
TIERCE
1,6,8 2,642
TRIO
1,6,8 986
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 13,751
QUARTET
1,6,8,9 152,820
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,7,9/1,6,8 18,971
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 74.5
7/6 88