Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 11:07

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course C 9 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. COPARTNER PRANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with DUKE WAI second and GORGEOUS WIN third. The 2.4 favourite GORGEOUS WIN finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.08.27

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	7	COPARTNER PRANCE XB 1.08.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui	Z Purton	K W Lui	8	120 lb	3.0	HD
2	3	DUKE WAI V K Teetan · P C Ng	K Teetan	P C Ng	1	132 lb	15.0	HD
3	9	GORGEOUS WIN TT A Badel · C S Shum	A Badel	C S Shum	3	117 lb	2.4	1
4	5	GUMMY GUMMY B A Hamelin · T P Yung	A Hamelin	T P Yung	5	123 lb	6.2	2-1/2
5	8	REWARD SMILE P-/TT B Thompson · J Size	B Thompson	J Size	6	120 lb	10.0	2-1/2
6	2	WHIZZ KID V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz	Y L Chung	A S Cruz	4	132 lb	37.0	3-1/4
7	4	TOMODACHI KOKOROE TT A Atzeni · D A Hayes	A Atzeni	D A Hayes	7	129 lb	42.0	5-1/4
8	1	NERVOUS WITNESS L Hewitson · D A Hayes	L Hewitson	D A Hayes	9	135 lb	13.0	5-3/4
9	6	CARROLL STREET SR/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte	M Chadwick	D J Whyte	2	121 lb	47.0	7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24

The model's top pick COPARTNER PRANCE (43.1%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	7	COPARTNER PRANCE	43.1%	2.32	1	3.0
2	9	GORGEOUS WIN	22.1%	4.52	3	2.4
3	5	GUMMY GUMMY	7.9%	12.65	4	6.2
4	4	TOMODACHI KOKOROE	6.4%	15.56	7	42.0
5	6	CARROLL STREET	5.0%	19.95	9	47.0
6	1	NERVOUS WITNESS	4.7%	21.10	8	13.0
7	3	DUKE WAI	4.1%	24.69	2	15.0
8	2	WHIZZ KID	3.7%	27.11	6	37.0
9	8	REWARD SMILE	3.0%	33.48	5	10.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 30.5

PLACE

3 31

7 15.5

9 10.5

QUINELLA

3,7 204.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 61.5

3,9 54.5

7,9 20.5

FORECAST

7,3 272

TIERCE

7,3,9 813

TRIO

3,7,9 136

FIRST 4

3,5,7,9 90

QUARTET

7,3,9,5 2,075

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

2/3 80.5

2/7 83.5

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