Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 20:17
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ARIEL Closed strongly CP/TT 1.35.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 6.6 | N |
| 3 | 14 | SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 9 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | TRADITION Closed strongly Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 13 | 115.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | CALL ME SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly V H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 10.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | MISSION VOICE B L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 13.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | SUPER WISE DRAGON XB1/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 1 | 35.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Led early B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.4 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 14 | 12.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 4 | 28.0 | 19-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SKYEY BLUE B-/H- M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 93.0 | 19-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. ARIEL, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by D A Hayes, won by N, with LUCKY TOUCH second and SPECIAL HEDGE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite CALIFORNIATOTALITY finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ARIEL | 16.1% | 6.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY TOUCH | 14.4% | 6.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 14.2% | 7.05 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | DARCI JOY | 9.6% | 10.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER UNICORN | 7.3% | 13.75 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO | 7.0% | 14.38 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | CALL ME SUPREME | 5.6% | 17.77 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | THE ABSOLUTE | 5.5% | 18.11 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | MISSION VOICE | 5.4% | 18.60 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | CELTIC TIMES | 4.8% | 20.80 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 4.6% | 21.87 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 3.8% | 26.36 | 3 |
| 13 | 5 | TRADITION | 1.0% | 100.36 | 4 |
| 14 | 10 | SKYEY BLUE | 0.7% | 143.91 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 67.5
PLACE
3 22.5
8 27.5
14 53
QUINELLA
3,8 275.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 91.5
3,14 203
8,14 223
FORECAST
3,8 547
TIERCE
3,8,14 7,621
TRIO
3,8,14 1,416
FIRST 4
3,5,8,14 50,516
QUARTET
3,8,14,5 619,365
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/3 190.5
1/8 34