Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 16:03
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NOBLE WIN Closed strongly E/XB/TT 1.22.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 5.3 | N |
| 2 | 1 | MY INTELLIGENT Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 4.4 | N |
| 3 | 4 | HEARTY WISH Closed strongly B-/CP1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 10 | 31.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | JAZZ CLUB Closed strongly B Avdulla · K L Man | B Avdulla | K L Man | 8 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB B Thompson · M Newnham | B Thompson | M Newnham | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DRAGON DELIGHT B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 9 | 9.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER JOY Closed strongly B/XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | GENERAL ACE Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H-/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 1 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | BEAT HOLLOW Led early A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 14 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | THE CONCENTRATION PC L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR CP-/H-/B1/TT- L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 6 | 8.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | YEABOI V1/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 13 | 27.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 11 | MORE RICE K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. NOBLE WIN, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by J Size, won by N, with MY INTELLIGENT second and HEARTY WISH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite MY INTELLIGENT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NOBLE WIN | 14.2% | 7.05 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MY INTELLIGENT | 11.3% | 8.88 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 10.9% | 9.18 | 9 |
| 4 | 5 | JAZZ CLUB | 10.0% | 9.99 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAT HOLLOW | 9.5% | 10.54 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | HEARTY WISH | 7.9% | 12.72 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 7.7% | 12.92 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER JOY | 6.1% | 16.51 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | THE CONCENTRATION | 5.7% | 17.52 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | REGENCY HAPPY STAR | 5.7% | 17.66 | 12 |
| 11 | 13 | YEABOI | 4.7% | 21.40 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | GENERAL ACE | 3.8% | 26.23 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.6% | 37.83 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 53.5
PLACE
1 19.5
4 99
6 20.5
QUINELLA
1,6 139.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 218
1,6 57.5
4,6 325.5
FORECAST
6,1 344
TIERCE
6,1,4 6,419
TRIO
1,4,6 1,465
FIRST 4
1,4,5,6 2,732
QUARTET
6,1,4,5 62,043