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Sha Tin · 2024-06-08 · 18:05

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 ENJOY GOLF Wire to wire 1.22.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · F C Lor 7 5.4 2
2 10 MASTER OF ALL B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 4 2.8 2
3 3 RUN RUN TIMING TT H Bentley · C H Yip 9 13.0 2
4 12 PATCH OF TIME H1/TT2 K Teetan · W K Mo 3 6.2 2-1/2
5 9 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 36.0 3-1/4
6 13 GREAT ACHIEVER Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 5 51.0 3-3/4
7 4 STAR LINE B K De Melo · D J Hall 1 48.0 4
8 5 FOOLISH HEART Closed strongly V/TT1 K C Leung · C W Chang 14 8.1 4-1/4
9 8 MILES AWAY A Badel · P C Ng 6 102.0 4-3/4
10 11 STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly B M Chadwick · D J Whyte 12 11.0 6-1/2
11 14 THE KHAN Closed strongly H/SR C Y Ho · C Fownes 11 16.0 6-1/2
12 2 FLOOF CP1/TT A Hamelin · K W Lui 10 45.0 7
13 6 KYEEMA TT B Thompson · M Newnham 13 84.0 7
14 1 DREAM PURSUER B Z Purton · K L Man 8 17.0 8

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2024-06-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ENJOY GOLF, ridden by H Bowman and trained by F C Lor, won by 2, with MASTER OF ALL second and RUN RUN TIMING third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite MASTER OF ALL finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ENJOY GOLF—2. MASTER OF ALL+2L3. RUN RUN TIMING+2L4. PATCH OF TIME+2.5L5. HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER+3.25L6. GREAT ACHIEVER+3.75L7. STAR LINE+4L8. FOOLISH HEART+4.25L9. MILES AWAY+4.75L10. STRATHPEFFER+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2023-24
The model's top pick MASTER OF ALL (25.0%) finished 2nd — the winner ENJOY GOLF was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 MASTER OF ALL 25.0% 3.99 2
2 7 ENJOY GOLF 16.9% 5.91 1
3 1 DREAM PURSUER 11.9% 8.38 14
4 11 STRATHPEFFER 8.0% 12.55 10
5 12 PATCH OF TIME 7.7% 12.98 4
6 3 RUN RUN TIMING 5.8% 17.10 3
7 14 THE KHAN 5.3% 18.86 11
8 8 MILES AWAY 4.7% 21.13 9
9 5 FOOLISH HEART 4.6% 21.70 8
10 4 STAR LINE 3.6% 27.48 7
11 13 GREAT ACHIEVER 3.2% 31.18 6
12 6 KYEEMA 1.1% 89.78 13
13 2 FLOOF 1.0% 95.95 12
14 9 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 0.9% 105.95 5
MASTER OF ALLENJOY GOLF — wonDREAM PURSUERSTRATHPEFFERPATCH OF TIMERUN RUN TIMINGTHE KHANMILES AWAYFOOLISH HEARTSTAR LINEGREAT ACHIEVERKYEEMAFLOOFHAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 54.5

PLACE

3 35

7 21

10 14

QUINELLA

7,10 98.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 104

3,10 71.5

7,10 40.5

FORECAST

7,10 234

TIERCE

7,10,3 1,640

TRIO

3,7,10 254

FIRST 4

3,7,10,12 252

QUARTET

7,10,3,12 6,813

All pools (2 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/1/7 184

7/1/10 17

4TH DOUBLE

1/7 63

1/10 10.5