跑馬地 · 2024-06-12 · 12:11
第 4場
2024-06-12跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的FLYING WROTE勝出，贏出N。TRAVEL GOLF獲得亞軍；MR VALIANT獲得季軍。5.5倍大熱門SWEET DIAMOND跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING WROTE H/TT 1.10.16 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | TRAVEL GOLF B2/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | MR VALIANT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SPICY GOLD H/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 7 | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HERO STAR TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TATTENHAM H A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 7.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | AMAZING ACE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 8.8 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TELECOM POWER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 87.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SWEET DIAMOND TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.5 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | SUGAR BALL H/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 10 | 12.0 | 25-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE | 17.0% | 5.88 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 13.7% | 7.28 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | SWEET DIAMOND | 12.6% | 7.92 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING WROTE | 10.0% | 9.97 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SPICY GOLD | 10.0% | 10.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | AMAZING ACE | 9.9% | 10.11 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | MR VALIANT | 7.7% | 12.95 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | HERO STAR | 5.5% | 18.17 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SUGAR BALL | 5.3% | 19.03 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | TATTENHAM | 4.4% | 22.59 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | TRAVEL GOLF | 3.1% | 31.87 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | TELECOM POWER | 0.7% | 150.63 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 131.5
PLACE
5 45.5
7 24
12 43
QUINELLA
5,12 1,130
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 227.5
5,12 343.5
7,12 182.5
FORECAST
5,12 1,892
TIERCE
5,12,7 17,200
TRIO
5,7,12 3,066
FIRST 4
4,5,7,12 4,382
QUARTET
5,12,7,4 150,765
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
11/5 1,906.5
11/12 331.5