跑馬地 · 2024-06-12 · 13:11
第 6場
2024-06-12跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、D J Whyte訓練的RED ELEGANCE勝出，贏出2-1/4。MA COMET獲得亞軍；SIGHT HAPPY獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門SIGHT HAPPY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE B 0.57.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MA COMET P/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT HAPPY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FANCY STAR PC/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 4 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 5.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 77.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 35.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEED SWORD TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 12 | 70.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY HORSE H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 19.3% | 5.17 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | SIGHT HAPPY | 14.7% | 6.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.25 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE | 11.9% | 8.39 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 11.8% | 8.45 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | MA COMET | 7.8% | 12.80 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL | 7.6% | 13.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | PARENTS' LOVE | 5.5% | 18.33 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.4% | 22.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | FANCY STAR | 1.3% | 77.27 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEED SWORD | 1.0% | 103.46 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 0.8% | 122.76 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 53
PLACE
1 27
3 19.5
7 16
QUINELLA
1,3 255.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 86
1,7 63
3,7 42
FORECAST
3,1 480
TIERCE
3,1,7 1,706
TRIO
1,3,7 312
FIRST 4
1,3,7,12 2,047
QUARTET
3,1,7,12 51,576
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 32.5
8/3 270.5