Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 13:11
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. RED ELEGANCE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-1/4, with MA COMET second and SIGHT HAPPY third. The 2.8 favourite SIGHT HAPPY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE B 0.57.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MA COMET P/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SIGHT HAPPY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 2.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | FANCY STAR PC/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 4 | 35.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 8.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 30.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 5.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST XB/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 10 | 77.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER COMMANDER V/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 8 | 35.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SPEED SWORD TT L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 12 | 70.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY HORSE H Bentley · K L Man | H Bentley | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 19.3% | 5.17 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | SIGHT HAPPY | 14.7% | 6.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | FORTUNE WARRIOR | 13.8% | 7.25 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE | 11.9% | 8.39 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 11.8% | 8.45 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | MA COMET | 7.8% | 12.80 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY SOUL | 7.6% | 13.11 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | PARENTS' LOVE | 5.5% | 18.33 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER COMMANDER | 4.4% | 22.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | FANCY STAR | 1.3% | 77.27 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEED SWORD | 1.0% | 103.46 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | ROMANTIC NOVELIST | 0.8% | 122.76 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 53
PLACE
1 27
3 19.5
7 16
QUINELLA
1,3 255.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 86
1,7 63
3,7 42
FORECAST
3,1 480
TIERCE
3,1,7 1,706
TRIO
1,3,7 312
FIRST 4
1,3,7,12 2,047
QUARTET
3,1,7,12 51,576
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
8/1 32.5
8/3 270.5