Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 12:42
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. OUTGATE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with YELLOWFIN second and MOMENTS IN TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | OUTGATE Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 1 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | HELENE FEELING Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 4 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 10 | 3.6 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early E C W Wong · Y S Tsui | E C W Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT SR/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 9 | 46.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER V-/B2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 7 | 36.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YELLOWFIN | 19.3% | 5.19 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | OUTGATE | 16.4% | 6.11 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 15.5% | 6.45 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | CHILL CHIBI | 15.2% | 6.57 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | HELENE FEELING | 9.5% | 10.53 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | FLAMING RABBIT | 8.7% | 11.46 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 7.5% | 13.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | SPLENDID LIVING | 3.2% | 31.09 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | MR ASCENDENCY | 2.4% | 41.48 | 10 |
| 10 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.3% | 43.98 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 29.5
PLACE
3 23.5
8 12.5
9 20.5
QUINELLA
8,9 72.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 52.5
3,9 73
8,9 28.5
FORECAST
8,9 141
TIERCE
8,9,3 729
TRIO
3,8,9 180
FIRST 4
3,6,8,9 196
QUARTET
8,9,3,6 2,877
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
11/5/8 8,347
11/5/9 1,519
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,7,12/3,8,9 83,469
4TH DOUBLE
5/8 403
5/9 164