Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 14:54
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RED HARE KING, ridden by H Bowman and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with AESTHETICISM second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT 1.40.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 9 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 12 | 33.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SATIRICAL FAN Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 8 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING DATA B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 11 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 2 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | BEAUTY INFINITY P- Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | BIG RED M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RED HARE KING | 21.8% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | SWEET BRIAR | 14.9% | 6.69 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY INFINITY | 10.7% | 9.38 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | JUMBO LEGEND | 9.9% | 10.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | STAR CONTACT | 9.7% | 10.29 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 6.1% | 16.41 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | IVY LEAGUE | 5.9% | 16.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | WINNING DATA | 4.4% | 22.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.4% | 22.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 4.3% | 23.04 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.0% | 25.27 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | SATIRICAL FAN | 3.8% | 26.11 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 35
PLACE
1 15
6 22
9 79.5
QUINELLA
1,9 655
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 58.5
1,9 218
6,9 384
FORECAST
1,9 897
TIERCE
1,9,6 10,585
TRIO
1,6,9 1,425
FIRST 4
1,6,9,11 1,390
QUARTET
1,9,6,11 38,269
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/9/1 5,723
12/9/9 11,558
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,6,9 348,870
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 99
9/9 177
SIX UP
5/8/3/12/9/1 2,304,677
5,12/8,9/1,3/11,12/8,9/1,9 6,309
2 [A S Cruz] —
6 [M Chadwick] —