Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 19:11
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT 1.39.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 4.6 | N |
| 2 | 1 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 9 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 6.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | CHATER GOLD Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 64.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 6 | 5.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | DRAGON STAR Led early B/XB K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 3.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | COURIER MAGIC B B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 4 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | VULCANUS B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 117.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | MISTER DAPPER CP/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 17.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | FLYING PHANTOM H K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 5 | 39.0 | 17 |
| 11 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 51.0 | 38-3/4 |
| — | 0 | E LEGEND Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 6 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 8 | 119.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. COMET SPLENDIDO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with SETANTA second and INVINCIBLE MISSILE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite DRAGON STAR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 20.5% | 4.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | DRAGON STAR | 19.0% | 5.28 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 16.2% | 6.17 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | COURIER MAGIC | 12.5% | 7.98 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 10.1% | 9.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MISTER DAPPER | 5.4% | 18.37 | 9 |
| 7 | 1 | SETANTA | 5.3% | 18.90 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.6% | 27.48 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | FLYING PHANTOM | 3.3% | 30.54 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | VULCANUS | 2.1% | 47.52 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | CHATER GOLD | 2.0% | 51.03 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 46.5
PLACE
1 34.5
2 16.5
11 22
QUINELLA
1,2 288.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 91.5
1,11 121
2,11 60
FORECAST
2,1 491
TIERCE
2,1,11 3,577
TRIO
1,2,11 575
FIRST 4
1,2,10,11 6,260
QUARTET
2,1,11,10 86,552
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/1 251
4/2 439.5