Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 14:19
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won by 2, with HAPPY UNITED second and HEROIC MASTER third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT 0.56.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 2 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY UNITED PC/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 11 | 74.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 53.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/TT H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 9 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | COLOURFUL PRINCE SR/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 7 | 16.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | MAGIC CONTROL TT1 H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 5.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | FAST SERVE XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 10 | 8.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HARMONY FIRE SR/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | MIDORI GLORY M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 26.2% | 3.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | HARMONY FIRE | 12.4% | 8.06 | 10 |
| 3 | 5 | MIDORI GLORY | 11.6% | 8.59 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | FAST SERVE | 11.3% | 8.83 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | HEROIC MASTER | 10.0% | 9.99 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | MAGIC CONTROL | 6.2% | 16.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | HUMBLE STAR | 5.1% | 19.49 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | HAPPY UNITED | 4.5% | 22.09 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | ATOMIC FORCE | 4.5% | 22.15 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 4.4% | 22.81 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM SPEED | 3.6% | 27.49 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 21
PLACE
7 33.5
8 140
9 11.5
QUINELLA
8,9 788.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 918.5
7,9 52.5
8,9 268
FORECAST
9,8 1,097
TIERCE
9,8,7 6,536
TRIO
7,8,9 2,303
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 7,641
QUARTET
9,8,7,10 103,848
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
12/8 2,575.5
12/9 1,441