Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 12:11
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLYING WROTE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with TRAVEL GOLF second and MR VALIANT third. The 5.5 favourite SWEET DIAMOND finished 11th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FLYING WROTE H/TT 1.10.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 12 | TRAVEL GOLF B2/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 16.0 | N |
| 3 | 7 | MR VALIANT B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 1 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 4 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SPICY GOLD H/TT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 7 | 6.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | HERO STAR TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TATTENHAM H A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 12 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY FOR ALL B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 7.2 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | AMAZING ACE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 8.8 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TELECOM POWER B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 87.0 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SWEET DIAMOND TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.5 | 16-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | SUGAR BALL H/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 10 | 12.0 | 25-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLDEN RISE | 17.0% | 5.88 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 13.7% | 7.28 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 | SWEET DIAMOND | 12.6% | 7.92 | 11 |
| 4 | 5 | FLYING WROTE | 10.0% | 9.97 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | SPICY GOLD | 10.0% | 10.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 2 | AMAZING ACE | 9.9% | 10.11 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | MR VALIANT | 7.7% | 12.95 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | HERO STAR | 5.5% | 18.17 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SUGAR BALL | 5.3% | 19.03 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | TATTENHAM | 4.4% | 22.59 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | TRAVEL GOLF | 3.1% | 31.87 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | TELECOM POWER | 0.7% | 150.63 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 131.5
PLACE
5 45.5
7 24
12 43
QUINELLA
5,12 1,130
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 227.5
5,12 343.5
7,12 182.5
FORECAST
5,12 1,892
TIERCE
5,12,7 17,200
TRIO
5,7,12 3,066
FIRST 4
4,5,7,12 4,382
QUARTET
5,12,7,4 150,765
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/5 1,906.5
11/12 331.5