Happy Valley · 2024-06-12 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V 1.50.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 15.0 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | 5 | 22.0 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SATIRICAL GLORY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 5.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly B K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 10 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ME TIME Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE Led early E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | HOLY POWER B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 7 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | PEGASUS GENERAL V Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 3 | 9.3 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | NICE BIRDIE TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | AMAZING BOY TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 54.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-06-12 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. JUBILATION, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with WINNING STEPS second and PRECISE EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite SATIRICAL GLORY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 17.6% | 5.68 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 15.1% | 6.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | NICE BIRDIE | 9.7% | 10.26 | 11 |
| 4 | 6 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 9.3% | 10.71 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLD TACK | 9.3% | 10.72 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 8.7% | 11.54 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | HOLY POWER | 8.6% | 11.62 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 4.5% | 22.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | JUBILATION | 4.4% | 22.78 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | AMAZING BOY | 4.4% | 22.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | ME TIME | 4.2% | 23.63 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | WINNING STEPS | 4.2% | 24.08 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 153.5
PLACE
4 65.5
7 24
11 44
QUINELLA
4,11 1,333
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 264.5
4,11 241.5
7,11 181
FORECAST
11,4 3,171
TIERCE
11,4,7 19,552
TRIO
4,7,11 3,531
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 4,312
QUARTET
11,4,7,2 183,279
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/4,7,11 472,423
2ND DOUBLE
2/4 204
2/11 681