跑馬地 · 2024-06-12 · 13:47
第 7場
2024-06-12跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的LUCKY ARCHANGEL勝出，贏出N。CALIFORNIA DEEPLY獲得亞軍；NORDIC DRAGON獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門CALIFORNIA DEEPLY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB 1.10.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 44.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY CP/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 2.7 | N |
| 3 | 1 | NORDIC DRAGON TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 2 | 3.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ASTROLOGER B K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 49.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | AMAZING VICTORY TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 6 | 34.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | YOUNG ARROW XB1 K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 4 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS B/TT E C W Wong · J Richards | E C W Wong | J Richards | 7 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | ACE VICTORY B Thompson · Y S Tsui | B Thompson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 61.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | MANRAY HONOUR TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 1 | 65.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | WINNING ICEY L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 27.3% | 3.67 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 15.6% | 6.39 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | NORDIC DRAGON | 13.3% | 7.52 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | AMAZING VICTORY | 9.3% | 10.78 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 6.9% | 14.49 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 6.8% | 14.69 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | CELESTIAL COLOURS | 5.4% | 18.36 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | ASTROLOGER | 5.4% | 18.56 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | YOUNG ARROW | 3.9% | 25.61 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 3.0% | 33.62 | 1 |
| 11 | 8 | ACE VICTORY | 2.4% | 42.22 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | MANRAY HONOUR | 0.7% | 134.98 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 449
PLACE
1 14.5
11 13
12 89.5
QUINELLA
11,12 490.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 24.5
1,12 211
11,12 156
FORECAST
12,11 1,830
TIERCE
12,11,1 5,990
TRIO
1,11,12 422
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 4,141
QUARTET
12,11,1,5 189,404
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,7/1,11,12 18,617
6TH DOUBLE
3/11 35
3/12 2,990.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,8,9/1,3,7/1,11,12 197,356
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,8,9/1,3,7/Any Combination 428