沙田 · 2024-06-15 · 08:32
第 2場
2024-06-15沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為YIELDING。由A Badel策騎、M Newnham訓練的TACTICAL COMMAND勝出，贏出N。COLONEL獲得亞軍；HO HO STAR獲得季軍。5.1倍大熱門COMMANDING MISSILE跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TACTICAL COMMAND B 1.10.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 1 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 1 | COLONEL V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 3 | 7.9 | N |
| 3 | 10 | HO HO STAR H1 K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | CHEER FOR SOUTH SR Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 8 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB2 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | TIMESTORM V H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 6.9 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | SONIC BOOM TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 5 | 5.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THE GOOD DEAL CP/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 17.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SIX BEST FRIENDS CP/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 86.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | HAPPY FEELING B/TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 27.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | COMMANDING MISSILE C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 7 | 5.1 | 21 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 17.1% | 5.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | COLONEL | 15.1% | 6.60 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 13.1% | 7.62 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | TIMESTORM | 9.8% | 10.24 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 9.7% | 10.27 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | SONIC BOOM | 9.5% | 10.47 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | HO HO STAR | 6.8% | 14.66 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | WIND SPEEDER | 5.2% | 19.16 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | THE GOOD DEAL | 4.6% | 21.61 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY FEELING | 4.0% | 24.83 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 2.9% | 34.96 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | SIX BEST FRIENDS | 2.1% | 48.35 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 56
PLACE
1 28
3 18.5
10 42.5
QUINELLA
1,3 225
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 76.5
1,10 184.5
3,10 120
FORECAST
3,1 443
TIERCE
3,1,10 3,990
TRIO
1,3,10 908
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 1,169
QUARTET
3,1,10,4 25,686
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 173
8/3 726.5